From fish to reg

Poker odds

To make the right decisions, it is important to estimate our chances of improving our hands. Find out on this page, all the probabilities that will be useful to you. It is difficult to remember them all, so we recommend that you first get to know the common matchups, then you can explore in more detail the probabilities by hand with our dynamic tool!

Odds to improve per hands

HandProbability (%)Number of combinations
Pair00
Pair with pocket pair only00
Two pair00
Three of a kind00
Three of a kind or better00
Straight00
Flush00
Full house00
Quads00
Straight flush00
Other
˫ Straight flush draw
˫ Straight draw with
˫ Flush draw
˪ Backdoor flush draw
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Flush draw00
Backdoor flush draw00
Overpair00

Why is knowing poker probabilities important?

Understanding probabilities in poker is crucial for making informed decisions and improving your overall performance in the game. Here are several key reasons why understanding poker probabilities is important:

  1. Hand Strength Assessment: Knowing the probabilities of different hands and combinations allows you to assess the strength of your own hand and those of your opponents. This knowledge helps you make decisions about whether to bet, raise, call, or fold.
  2. Pot Odds: Calculating pot odds enables you to determine if the potential reward justifies the risk of a bet. It helps you make decisions about whether to call or fold when facing a bet or raise.
  3. Expected Value (EV): Understanding probabilities is essential for calculating the expected value of different actions in a hand. By comparing the expected value of various decisions, you can make optimal choices to maximize your long-term profits.
  4. Outs and Odds for Drawing Hands: When you have drawing hands (e.g., a flush or straight draw), knowing the number of outs and the odds of completing your draw on the turn or river is essential. This knowledge guides your decision-making in terms of betting or calling.
  5. Bluffing and Deception: Understanding probabilities helps you create a balanced and effective bluffing strategy. You can use the odds to calculate the likelihood that your opponent has a strong hand and decide when to bluff or when to fold in the face of a potential bluff.
  6. Bankroll Management: Understanding the variance in poker and the probabilities of winning or losing over the long term is crucial for effective bankroll management. It helps you avoid going on tilt and losing large amounts of money in a single session.
  7. Tournament Play: In tournament poker, where the structure and blinds change, understanding probabilities is vital for adjusting your strategy as the game progresses. This includes making decisions about when to accumulate chips or when to play conservatively.
  8. Reading Opponents: Knowledge of probabilities can help you read your opponents based on their actions. If you know the odds of certain hands or draws, you can make more accurate assumptions about what cards they might hold.
  9. Risk Assessment: Poker is a game of risk management. By understanding the probabilities associated with different scenarios, you can make more informed decisions about when to take calculated risks and when to play cautiously.

In summary, poker is a game that combines skill and luck, and understanding probabilities is a fundamental skill for any serious poker player. It helps you make rational decisions based on mathematical expectations rather than relying solely on intuition or luck. This, in turn, can lead to more consistent and profitable results in the long run.

Poker hand odds

HandProbability (%)
Specific pair (QQ, 99, 33...)0,45%
Any pair5,88%
Pair TT+2,26%
Offsuited cards70,59%
Suited cards23,53%
Connectors14,48%
Suited connectors3,62%
At least 1 Broadway60,33%
At least 2 Broadways14,33%
Specific card (e.g Jx; includes pair)14,93%

Odds to improve your hands on flop

There is a total of 19600 combinations possible on flop.
HandProbability (%)Number of combinations
Pair792040,41%
Pair with one card from your hand528026,94%
Overpair or better with KK1518077,44%
Overpair or better with QQ1148058,57%
Overpair or better with JJ843643,04%
Overpair or better with TT598430,53%
Overpair or better with 99406020,71%
Overpair or better with 88260013,26%
Two pair with pocket pair316816,16%
Two pair or better with pocket pair552028,16%
Two pair with two unpaired cards7924,04%
Two pair or better with two unpaired cards1312 (offsuited)
1474 (suited)
6,69%
7,52%
Three of a kind with a pocket pair (set)211210,77%
Three of a kind or better with a pocket pair (set)235212,00%
Three of a kind with unpaired cards (trips)3081,57%
Straight with connectors (AK or A2)
Straight with one gapper (AQ or A3)
Straight with two gapper (AJ or A4)
Straight with three gapper (AT to A5)
64 (offsuited)
63 (suited)
0,33%
0,32%
Straight with connectors (KQ or 32)
Straight with one gapper (KJ or 42)
Straight with two gapper (KT to 52)
128 (offsuited)
126 (suited)
0,65%
0,64%
Straight with connectors (QJ or 43)
Straight with one gapper (QT to 53)
192 (offsuited)
189 (suited)
0,98%
0,96%
Straight with connectors (JT to 54)256 (offsuited)
252 (suited)
1,31%
1,28%
Straight draw with connectors (AK or A2)
Straight draw with one gapper (AQ or A3)
Straight draw with two gapper (AJ or A4)
Straight draw with three gapper (AT to A5)
1792 (offsuited)
1764 (suited)
9,14%
9%
Straight draw with connectors (KQ or 32)
Straight draw with one gapper (KJ or 42)
Straight draw with two gapper (KT to 52)
2368 (offsuited)
2331 (suited)
12,08%
11,89%
Straight draw with connectors (QJ or 43)
Straight draw with one gapper (QT to 53)
3136 (offsuited)
3087 (suited)
16%
15,75%
Straight draw with connectors (JT to 54)3904 (offsuited)
3843 (suited)
19,92%
19,61%
Flush with suited cards1610,82%
Flush or better with suited cards1850,94%
Flush draw with suited cards214510,94%
1 suited card with suited cards900945,96%
Full-house with pocket pair1920,98%
Full-house or better with pocket pair2401,22%
Full-house with unpaired cards180,09%
Quads with a pocket pair480,24%
Quads with unpaired cards20,01%
Straight flush with Suited connectors (AK or A2)
Straight flush with suited one gapper (AQ or A3)
Straight flush with suited two gapper (AJ or A4)
Straight flush with suited three gapper (AT to A5)
10,005%
Straight flush with Suited connectors (KQ or 32)
Straight flush with suited one gapper (KJ or 42)
Straight flush with suited two gapper (KT to 52)
20,01%
Straight flush with Suited connectors (QJ or 43)
Straight flush with suited one gapper (QT to 53)
30,015%
Straight flush with Suited connectors (JT to 54)40,02%

Common matchups

For simplicity sake, we have rounded the probabilities. The true probabilities differ from 1% to 3%.
HandsProbabilities
AKo vs AQo
AKo vs KQo
75% / 25%
AKo vs KQs70% / 30%
AKo vs QJo64% / 36%
KQo vs QJo75% / 25%
AA vs KK
AA vs 88
AA vs 22
TT vs 99
80% / 20%
AA vs A2s+ A2o+90% / 10%
AA vs 98s78% / 22%
99 vs KQo55% / 45%
T9s vs T9o52% / 48%
T9s vs 98s70% / 30%
T9s vs 87s65% / 35%

Outs probabilities

Count the number of outs you need on the turn or river to improve your hands and then use the table below to know your chances.
Example
You have 10 outs that improve your hands, you have then 21,28% of chance to improve on the turn and 21,74% on the river.

The number must be between 1 and 47

Turn21.28%
River21.74%
Turn ∪ River38.4%
Outs1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132333435363738394041424344454647
Turn2.134.266.398.5210.6412.7714.917.0319.1521.2823.4125.5427.6629.7931.9234.0536.1838.340.4342.5644.6946.8148.9451.0753.255.3257.4559.5861.7163.8365.9668.0970.2272.3574.4776.678.7380.8682.9885.1187.2489.3791.4993.6295.7597.88100
River2.184.356.538.710.8713.0515.2217.419.5721.7423.9226.0928.2730.4432.6134.7936.9639.1441.3143.4845.6647.835052.1854.3556.5358.760.8763.0565.2267.469.5771.7473.9276.0978.2780.4482.6184.7986.9689.1491.3193.4895.6697.83100100
Turn ∪ River4.268.4212.4916.4720.3624.1527.8531.4634.9738.441.7344.9648.1151.1654.1256.9959.7662.4565.0467.5469.9472.2574.4776.678.6480.5882.4384.1985.8587.4288.990.2991.5992.7993.994.9295.8496.6797.4198.0698.6299.0899.4599.7399.91100100

FROM FISH TO REG offers free poker tools to help player to get better. Made with passion by Valentin

May the flop be with you. — Doyle Brunson
fromfishtoreg logo